It goes without saying that I am extremely skeptical of the Paulson bailout scheme under the funny money regime. Good for Nomura (NMR: 6.76 -7.14%) and Mitsubishi UFJ (MTU: 5.09 -7.12%) for being able to get in on the scavenging, the former, which is said to be buying Lehman’s Asia franchise and the latter which is reported to be taking up to a 20% stake in Morgan Stanley (MS: 12.08 -18.10%). (See clips below from MarketWatch). That said, if the so-called relief rally and bogus bail-out rally come to an abrupt end today in the USA — how can you eliminate short-selling and get excited about a short-lived rally — then expect some profit-taking in Tokyo (from Wednesday, when the TSE reopens after the Autumnal equinox holiday). Beware bottom-fishing with iShares MSCI Japan Index ETF (EWJ: 8.27 -4.50%).
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1 response so far ↓
1 Ken // Sep 22, 2008 at 5:55 pm
Mate, after I wrote up the Nomura/MUFG buyin story I really wanted to see what you had to say. I agree, good for them!
I don’t know if MUFG will get a 20% share in Morgan Stanley - that would make them the largest single shareholder.
I’m under the assumption that Lehman’s Asia-Pacific ops are relatively clean of the toxic waste that makes the US ops difficult to move without “someone” assuming the uglier parts of the balance sheets. But, I haven’t had a chance to really look at it yet.
It seems that Nomura is getting LB’s APEC ops without the real estate assets. What do you think of this?
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